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Notes

Research, case studies, and field observations from the Atomus workshop.

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Quantitative Finance × Machine Learning2
Quantitative Finance × Statistical Physics1
Last updatedApril 24, 2026
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2026
Apr 2026

MARA: When the JSE Speaks, Listen

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Building a regime-detection system that learned to read South African market structure

A Hidden Markov Model trading system for the Johannesburg Stock Exchange—and every bug that nearly killed it before it could trade.

Quantitative Finance × Machine Learningresearch in progress
Apr 2026

Ephemeris: Time-Dependent Probability Estimation in Bounded Binary Markets

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A Fokker-Planck approach to 5-minute cryptocurrency prediction markets

Mathematical framework for pricing binary options with known resolution times using physics-derived signals and regime-conditioned probability models.

Quantitative Finance × Statistical Physicsresearch in progress
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